Q1 2024 Earnings Summary
- Enterprise function leaders' Contract Value (CV) grew by 10% despite a tougher economic environment, demonstrating strong demand for Gartner's services.
- Gartner has a robust sales pipeline and expects CV growth to reaccelerate from Q1 or Q2, driven by stable retention rates and a more balanced renewal schedule.
- Stable pricing in the subscription business and operating expense savings have led to increased guidance, with potential upside from improvements in nonsubscription pricing.
- The company is facing a tougher selling environment, with decisions getting pushed and ongoing layoffs in the tech industry impacting their business.
- Heavy renewals from tech vendor clients in Q1 led to lower Net Contract Value Increase (NCVI), with tech vendor Contract Value (CV) down slightly year-over-year.
- Uncertainty about when improvements in nonsubscription pricing will materialize, due to the lag between providing leads to vendors and realizing increased pricing.
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CV Growth Outlook
Q: What's your outlook for contract value (CV) growth reacceleration?
A: We expect total CV growth to reaccelerate this year, coming off either Q1 or Q2. Despite a challenging environment, our robust pipeline, stabilizing retention rates, and an increasingly experienced sales force give us confidence in this acceleration. -
Tech Vendor Challenges
Q: How are tech vendor challenges affecting your business?
A: The tech vendor segment, which represents a little less than 25% of total CV, faced headwinds due to tougher renewals and market conditions. We had more tech vendor contracts up for renewal in Q1, leading to less new business on those renewals, but sales to new tech vendor logos have been strong. -
Retention Rates Stabilizing
Q: Are retention rates stabilizing after the elevated renewals?
A: Yes, retention rates have stabilized, which will contribute to CV growth reacceleration. The disproportionate amount of tech vendor renewals impacted Q1, but renewals are more evenly spread over the rest of the year. -
EBITDA Margin Outlook
Q: What is driving your improved EBITDA margin outlook?
A: We raised our EBITDA margin outlook from 23% to 23.5%, driven by modest upside in operating expenses and revenue. Margins are structurally higher today, and we expect to modestly expand margins each year over the medium to long term. -
Pricing Stabilization
Q: Can you elaborate on pricing stabilization?
A: Pricing in our subscription business remains completely stable. In the nonsubscription part of our Research business, pricing has stabilized due to our focus on higher-quality leads. As lead quality improves, we expect pricing to increase, potentially presenting upside to guidance. -
Quota-bearing Headcount Growth
Q: What are your hiring plans for quota-bearing headcount?
A: We're targeting mid- to high single-digit growth in quota-bearing headcount by year-end, positioning us well for 2025. We're focused on hiring the right number of people over the course of the year to drive future growth. -
AI Demand and Usage
Q: How is AI impacting your business and clients?
A: There's broad interest in AI across all functional areas, and clients are actively using our AI research. While AI is a hot topic, it substitutes for other topics like cloud computing in the past, so it hasn't led to a step change in demand. Internally, we're using AI mainly in data analytics. -
Conferences Expansion
Q: What's the status of your Conferences expansion plan?
A: We're expanding our Conferences portfolio, adding two new conferences in Q1 and increasing from 47 conferences last year to 51 in 2024. We plan to continue this growth over the next several years to support our Research business. -
Sales Force Tenure
Q: How is sales force tenure impacting productivity?
A: Our sales force is becoming more experienced, which should enhance productivity once the economy stabilizes or improves. We measure inputs beyond final output, and these give us confidence despite the challenging environment. -
Enterprise Count Decline
Q: Why is the enterprise count declining, and how does it affect CV growth?
A: The decline is due to churn in the small tech space, where companies face funding challenges. While we're adding new logos, it's not offsetting the losses. However, we expect total CV to reaccelerate with contributions from all segments.
Research analysts covering GARTNER.